Fitch yongeye kwemeza amanota B+ y’u Rwanda, iteganya ubukungu buzamuka 7,8%
Fitch Ratings yongeye kwemeza amanota B+ ku mwenda w’u Rwanda w’igihe kirekire mu mafaranga y’amahanga, igumana icyerekezo gihamye. Iteganya ko ubukungu buzakura ku kigero cya 7,8% mu 2026.
Ikigo mpuzamahanga gitanga amanota ku bukungu bw’ibihugu, Fitch Ratings, cyongeye kwemeza amanota y’u Rwanda ku mwenda w’igihe kirekire mu mafaranga y’amahanga kuri B+, kandi kigumana icyerekezo gihamye. Minisiteri y’Imari n’Igenamigambi yabitangaje ku wa mbere tariki 14 Nzeri 2026.
Icyo amanota ashingiraho
Nk’uko Minisiteri y’Imari ibisobanura, aya manota ashingiye ku bipimo by’imiyoborere myiza y’u Rwanda, ku bushobozi bwo gukura kw’ubukungu, no ku miterere y’umwenda wa Leta ugizwe ahanini n’imyenda ifite inyungu nkeya n’igihe kirekire cyo kwishyura, hiyongereyeho inkunga ihoraho y’amafaranga n’iy’ubuhanga ituruka ku bafatanyabikorwa mu iterambere.
Amanota ya B+ ari mu cyiciro cy’ibihugu bifite ubushobozi bwo kwishyura imyenda yabyo, ariko bikigaragaraho ingaruka z’ihungabana ry’ubukungu n’iry’imari.
Uko ubukungu buteganyijwe
Fitch iteganya ko ubukungu bw’u Rwanda buzakura ku kigero cya 7,8% mu 2026, bugabanutse buvuye kuri 9,4% bwagezeho mu 2025. Icyo kigero kiracyari hejuru y’impuzandengo ya 4,5% y’ibihugu bifite amanota mu cyiciro cya B. Uku gukura gushyigikiwe n’ubuhinzi, serivisi, ubwubatsi n’imishinga y’ibikorwa remezo, harimo ikibuga mpuzamahanga cy’indege gishya i Bugesera.
Umwenda n’igihombo cya Leta
Fitch ivuga ko umwenda rusange wa Leta uzagabanuka, ukagera ku mpuzandengo ya 65% by’umusaruro mbumbe w’igihugu muri FY2027 na FY2028, nyuma yo kugera ku ntera ya hejuru ya hafi 74% muri FY2025. Kuri 87% by’umwenda w’amahanga w’u Rwanda ni imyenda ifite inyungu nkeya cyane.
Igihombo cya Leta giteganyijwe kuri 4,5% by’umusaruro mbumbe muri FY2027, ugereranyije na 4,4% muri FY2026. Naho igihombo mu bucuruzi n’amahanga giteganyijwe kwiyongera kikegera 15% by’umusaruro mbumbe mu 2026, gisanwa n’ishoramari riturutse hanze n’inguzanyo za Leta.
Ifaranga n’ubwiyongere bw’ibiciro
Fitch iteganya ko ubwiyongere bw’ibiciro buzaba ku mpuzandengo ya 11,7% mu 2026, hejuru y’intego ya Banki Nkuru y’u Rwanda iri hagati ya 2% na 8%. Kuva muri Gashyantare 2026, igipimo cy’inyungu fatizo cyazamuwe n’ibice 150 (basis points), kigera kuri 8,75%. Amadovize y’igihugu angana n’amezi 3,2 y’ibyishyurwa mu mahanga.
Ibyo Fitch iburira
Fitch ivuga ko ibipimo byiza by’imiyoborere n’imiterere y’umwenda bibangamirwa n’umusaruro mbumbe muto ku muturage no ku bihombo bibiri bihoraho: icya Leta n’icy’ubucuruzi n’amahanga. Yongeraho ko ibyago by’umutekano mu karere bikiri hejuru, kandi ko intambara yongera gutera yatuma u Rwanda rugabanyirizwa cyane uburyo bwo kubona imari yo hanze.
Inkomoko: Fitch Ratings, “Fitch Affirms Rwanda At ‘B+’ With Stable Outlook”, 13 Nzeri 2026; The New Times, “Fitch reaffirms Rwanda’s B+ credit rating, stable outlook”, 14 Nzeri 2026.
Soma inkuru y’amanota kuri The New Times