Ibiciro byazamutse 15,7% mu Kanama 2026: Ibyemezwa n’imibare n’icyo bishobora gusobanura

Ikigo cy’Igihugu gishinzwe Ibarurishamibare cyatangaje ko ibiciro byiyongereyeho 15,7% mu Kanama 2026. Iyi nkuru itandukanya imibare yemewe n’isesengura ry’icyo ishobora gusobanura ku muryango usanzwe.
Izamuka ry’ibiciro mu Rwanda ryakomeje kwiyongera mu Kanama 2026. Imibare yatangajwe n’Ikigo cy’Igihugu gishinzwe Ibarurishamibare mu Rwanda (NISR) ku wa 10 Nzeri 2026 igaragaza ko ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa n’imirimo mu mijyi byiyongereyeho 15,7% ugereranyije n’ukwezi kumwe ko mu 2025. Ni urwego ruri hejuru y’intego Banki Nkuru y’u Rwanda yihaye, yo kugumana izamuka ry’ibiciro hagati ya 2% na 8%.
Ibyemezwa n’inyandiko
Nk’uko NISR yabitangaje ku wa 10 Nzeri 2026, iyi mibare ishingiye ku gipimo cy’ibiciro ku baguzi bo mu mijyi (Urban CPI), icyo kigo gifata nk’igipimo nyamukuru gikoreshwa muri politiki y’ifaranga. Icyo gipimo cyari kuri 217,8 mu Kanama 2026 (Gashyantare 2014 = 100). Ugereranyije na Nyakanga 2026, ibiciro mu mijyi byiyongereyeho 1,8%.
Mu byiciro by’ibicuruzwa, ubwikorezi ni bwo bwiyongereyeho cyane: 24,2%. Icumbi, amazi, amashanyarazi, gaze n’ibindi bicanwa byiyongereyeho 20,4%. Ibiribwa n’ibinyobwa bidasembuye byiyongereyeho 16,3%, naho resitora na hoteri byiyongereyeho 15,6%.
Uko umwaka wagenze
Nk’uko ikinyamakuru KT Press cyabitangaje ku wa 27 Kanama 2026, Banki Nkuru y’u Rwanda yatangaje nyuma y’inama ya Komite ishinzwe politiki y’ifaranga yo ku wa 26 Kanama ko izamuka ry’ibiciro ryavuye kuri 9,1% mu gihembwe cya mbere cya 2026, rigera kuri 13,2% mu gihembwe cya kabiri, hanyuma rikagera kuri 14,5% muri Nyakanga. Umubare wa Kanama, 15,7%, ukomeza uwo murongo wo kuzamuka.
Isesengura: icyo bishobora gusobanura
Ibikurikira ni isesengura, ntabwo ari amakuru yatangajwe n’inzego zibishinzwe. Ku bipimo byatangajwe, byerekana ko iri zamuka ritaturuka ku isoko rimwe gusa. Ubwikorezi n’icumbi, ari byo byiciro bibiri bifite ibipimo biri hejuru kurusha ibindi, bishingira cyane ku biciro by’ibicanwa n’ingufu, kandi NISR igaragaza ko ibiciro by’ingufu byiyongereyeho 45,4%. Icyakora imibare y’icyo kigo igaragaza kandi ko ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa bikorerwa mu gihugu byiyongereyeho 17,4%, mu gihe iby’ibitumizwa hanze byiyongereyeho 10,8%. Bishobora rero kwerekana ko iri zamuka ridaterwa gusa n’ibiciro byo hanze y’igihugu.
Hari kandi impamvu zo gutekereza ko izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibiribwa, rya 16,3%, rifite isano n’umusaruro w’ubuhinzi n’uko ibiribwa bigera ku masoko. Ariko ibyo ntibyemezwa n’imibare yatangajwe; byasaba isesengura ryihariye kuri buri gihingwa.
Icyo bishobora kuvuga ku muryango usanzwe
Ku muryango ukoresha igice kinini cy’amafaranga yawo ku biribwa no ku bwikorezi, izamuka rya 15,7% rishobora kumvikana kurusha uko umubare rusange ubigaragaza. Bishobora kandi kuba byatuma umushahara udahindutse ugura bike kurusha uko byari bimeze umwaka ushize.